Risk Assessment Methodology

Transparent, scientific, and defensible.

Version 2.0.0 · Last reviewed: 2026-05-04

RiskVector uses a multi-dimensional risk assessment framework based on ISO 31000 principles. Each country is evaluated across 6 key dimensions using data from authoritative international sources.

Scoring Scale: 0-100 (100 = safest)

90-100

Minimal

Very low risk. Standard precautions sufficient.

70-89

Low

Low risk. Normal travel with basic awareness.

50-69

Moderate

Moderate risk. Heightened awareness recommended.

30-49

High

High risk. Essential travel only with planning.

0-29

Critical

Critical risk. Travel strongly discouraged.

Six Risk Dimensions

Political Stability

18% weight

Government effectiveness, political stability, rule of law, and control of corruption.

World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI)Economist Intelligence Unit Democracy IndexFreedom House Freedom in the World

Composite score based on normalized WGI indicators.

Crime & Safety

20% weight

Homicide rates, theft, assault, organized crime presence.

UNODC Crime StatisticsGDELT Global Event DatabaseNumbeo Crime Index

Rates normalized per 100,000 population. Compared against global median.

Health Risk

18% weight

Disease outbreaks, healthcare access, vaccination coverage.

WHO Global Health ObservatoryCDC Travel HealthECDC Surveillance

Composite of current outbreak status (30%), healthcare quality (30%), disease burden (20%), prevention (20%).

Environmental Risk

15% weight

Natural disaster frequency, severity, and climate vulnerability.

Munich Re NatCatSERVICEUSGSNOAAEM-DAT

Based on historical disaster frequency (30yr), severity weighted by mortality and economic impact.

Infrastructure

14% weight

Transport, digital connectivity, emergency services quality.

WEF Global Competitiveness ReportWorld BankITU ICT Development Index

Composite of transport quality, digital infrastructure, air connectivity, and emergency response capability.

Terrorism & Conflict

15% weight

Terror incidents, armed conflict, civilian casualties.

Global Terrorism Database (GTD)ACLEDUCDPSIPRI

Based on incident frequency, fatalities, and spatial extent. Recent events (12 months) weighted more heavily.

Confidence Score

Confidence scores reflect data availability and source reliability per country. Countries with more data sources receive higher confidence scores.

Update frequency: Scores recalculated monthly. Alert levels updated in real-time.

Limitations

•Scores represent general country-level risk and may not reflect conditions in specific regions.
•Data availability varies significantly between countries.
•Historical data may not predict future events.
•Scores should be used as one input among many for travel decisions.

Questions about our methodology? We believe in full transparency.